Thirty-Five percent (35%) of Richmond Heights voters are not sure to recall Mayor Headen.
A new Shelvie Polls survey shows that, if the recall election was held, thirty-four percent (34%) of likely voters would vote to recall Mayor Headen and remove her from office.
Thirty percent (30%) of likely voters would vote against the recall and let her continue to serve as Mayor. However thirty-five percent (35%) of likely voters are not sure to recall the Mayor.
Richmond Heights is a city in Cuyahoga County, Ohio. The population was 10,546 at the 2010 census.
Method
Shelvie Polls conducted a poll August 21 to 23, 2014. The sample size was 2780 adults in Richmond Heights, Ohio with a margin of error ± 3 of likely voters. 100% of surveys for the poll was conducted over the phone.
Survey question
Will you vote yes or no on the question of whether Miesha Headen should be recalled from the office of Richmond Heights Mayor Office?
Yes 30%
No 34%
Not sure 35%
Party Status
30% Democrats
30% Republicans
40% Independents
NOTE: Margin of Sampling Error, +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence
For more information email Shelviepolls@gmail.com or follow us on Twitter @ShelviePolls.
Sunday, August 24, 2014
Americans are dissatisfied
The impact is all too predictable. Three in four Americans are dissatisfied with the way the political system works, according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. More than eight in 10 say they trust the government to do the right thing only some of the time, according to a Quinnipiac University poll.
The Pew Research Center recently found that 55 percent of Americans think the current Congress has accomplished less than recent Congresses — a record high. A survey taken at the end of last year by the National Opinion Research Center and the Associated Press found that six in 10 respondents felt generally pessimistic about how their political leaders are chosen.
The Pew Research Center recently found that 55 percent of Americans think the current Congress has accomplished less than recent Congresses — a record high. A survey taken at the end of last year by the National Opinion Research Center and the Associated Press found that six in 10 respondents felt generally pessimistic about how their political leaders are chosen.
Saturday, August 16, 2014
Cell Phone
The California bill is aimed at curbing cellphone theft by requiring all smartphones sold in the state home to 37 million people to come equipped with a feature that allows users to remotely wipe their personal data and make the devices inoperable.
Thursday, August 14, 2014
St. Louis County Police
The St. Louis County Police Department will no longer be involved in the tense situation in Ferguson, Mo., that has seen days of protests following the killing of an unarmed teenage black male by police, a congressman said Thursday.
Rep. Lacy Clay (D-Mo.), whose district includes the northern St. Louis suburb, told Bloomberg that Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon (D) will make the announcement Thursday morning.
"The governor just called me and he's on his way to St. Louis now to announce he's taking St. Louis County Police out of the situation," Clay told Bloomberg. He did not specify who would take over.
St. Louis field office FBI agents and those with the U.S. Attorneys' Office are working with the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division on the investigation, Attorney General Eric Holder said Monday.
Police in the area have been criticized for what many view as a militarized response to the protests there.
The governor was also criticized Wednesday evening for being seemingly absent while protests escalated, with police reportedly firing tear gas and smoke bombs at protesters. Several people were arrested.
“The worsening situation in Ferguson is deeply troubling, and does not represent who we are as Missourians or as Americans," Nixon later said in a statement released in the early hours Thursday.
Rep. Lacy Clay (D-Mo.), whose district includes the northern St. Louis suburb, told Bloomberg that Missouri Gov. Jay Nixon (D) will make the announcement Thursday morning.
"The governor just called me and he's on his way to St. Louis now to announce he's taking St. Louis County Police out of the situation," Clay told Bloomberg. He did not specify who would take over.
St. Louis field office FBI agents and those with the U.S. Attorneys' Office are working with the Justice Department's Civil Rights Division on the investigation, Attorney General Eric Holder said Monday.
Police in the area have been criticized for what many view as a militarized response to the protests there.
The governor was also criticized Wednesday evening for being seemingly absent while protests escalated, with police reportedly firing tear gas and smoke bombs at protesters. Several people were arrested.
“The worsening situation in Ferguson is deeply troubling, and does not represent who we are as Missourians or as Americans," Nixon later said in a statement released in the early hours Thursday.
Ferguson
FERGUSON, Mo. — For the past week in Ferguson, reporters have been using the McDonald’s a few blocks from the scene of Michael Brown’s shooting as a staging area. Demonstrations have blown up each night nearby. But inside there’s WiFi and outlets, so it’s common for reporters to gather there.
That was the case Wednesday. My phone was just about to die, so as I charged it, I used the time to respond to people on Twitter and do a little bit of a Q&A since I wasn’t out there covering the protests.
As I sat there, many armed officers came in — some who were dressed as normal officers, others who were dressed with more gear.
That was the case Wednesday. My phone was just about to die, so as I charged it, I used the time to respond to people on Twitter and do a little bit of a Q&A since I wasn’t out there covering the protests.
As I sat there, many armed officers came in — some who were dressed as normal officers, others who were dressed with more gear.
Monday, August 11, 2014
Meet the Press
Chuck Todd, the NBC News political director and chief White House correspondent, is likely to succeed David Gregory as moderator of 'Meet the Press,' with the change expected to be announced in coming weeks, top political sources told POLITICO's Mike Allen.
The move is an effort by NBC News President Deborah Turness to restore passion and insider cred to a network treasure that has been adrift since the death of Tim Russert in 2008. Gregory, his replacement, suffered from low ratings and, in recent months, an onslaught of negative press reports.
While Todd is not a classic television performer, sources said his NBC bosses have been impressed by his love of the game, which brings with it authenticity, sources and a loyal following among newsmakers and political junkies.
More from Mike Allen's initial report in Playbook:
The move is an effort by NBC News President Deborah Turness to restore passion and insider cred to a network treasure that has been adrift since the death of Tim Russert in 2008. Gregory, his replacement, suffered from low ratings and, in recent months, an onslaught of negative press reports.
While Todd is not a classic television performer, sources said his NBC bosses have been impressed by his love of the game, which brings with it authenticity, sources and a loyal following among newsmakers and political junkies.
More from Mike Allen's initial report in Playbook:
DMC
#Columbus promotes itself as a fast-growing swing city in the hard-fought battleground of Ohio. After the Republican National Committee selected Cleveland to host its convention, the mayor cautioned that Democrats risked losing Ohio in 2016 if they didn't pick Columbus.
Sunday, August 10, 2014
2low Congress
In a Washington Post-ABC News poll released Tuesday, the paper found, for the first time in 25 years, that a majority of people disapprove of the job their own Congress member is doing. Clement said while people might have said Congress as a whole is doing a poor job, voters are "not willing to let their own Congress member off the hook anymore."
But the ill will toward Congress and President Barack Obama is nothing new, said Sarah Dutton, director of surveys for CBS News, which found near-historic lows for each party's approval rating in its poll last week.
"It's been low for quite some time," Dutton said of Congress' approval rating. "However, it's now lower than it was in previous midterm elections."
So what does this mean come November? Across the board, pollsters note that it throws turnout levels into question. Jensen said anger toward their own candidates coupled with anger for the opposition leaves little for voters to get particularly excited about. Two groups that could see an impact, however, are independent voters and third-party candidates.
But the ill will toward Congress and President Barack Obama is nothing new, said Sarah Dutton, director of surveys for CBS News, which found near-historic lows for each party's approval rating in its poll last week.
"It's been low for quite some time," Dutton said of Congress' approval rating. "However, it's now lower than it was in previous midterm elections."
So what does this mean come November? Across the board, pollsters note that it throws turnout levels into question. Jensen said anger toward their own candidates coupled with anger for the opposition leaves little for voters to get particularly excited about. Two groups that could see an impact, however, are independent voters and third-party candidates.
Saturday, August 9, 2014
What is WaterGate?
At the time, it must have all seemed unforgettable: the endless revelations of wrongdoing, the painful congressional investigation and, finally, the soft black-and-white image of Richard Nixon resigning the presidency.
But ask today's students about the events of Watergate 40 years ago and odds are that many have never heard of the scandal, or, at best, are vaguely aware that something happened once that lives on in a suffix attached to the occasional controversy.
But ask today's students about the events of Watergate 40 years ago and odds are that many have never heard of the scandal, or, at best, are vaguely aware that something happened once that lives on in a suffix attached to the occasional controversy.
Friday, August 8, 2014
She called me ‘poor white trash’ and ‘white b****’,”
A white, male former Maryland #teacher has won a $350,000 jury award after claiming that schools officials retaliated against him because of his race.
Jon Everhart alleged in his lawsuit against the Prince George’s County school board that a black principal forced him out of his job because he is white.
“Justice was served,” Everhart said. “I do feel as though I have been vindicated.”
Everhart, 65, speaking by phone from Ohio after the verdict in the U.S. District Court for the District of Maryland, said he faced years of racial harassment from the principal at Largo High School, who he said repeatedly told staffers and students that she planned to fire him.
“She called me ‘poor white trash’ and ‘white b****’,” Everhart said of the principal, Angelique Simpson-Marcus, who leads the 1,100-student school. “Her behavior was so outlandish.”
Jon Everhart alleged in his lawsuit against the Prince George’s County school board that a black principal forced him out of his job because he is white.
“Justice was served,” Everhart said. “I do feel as though I have been vindicated.”
Everhart, 65, speaking by phone from Ohio after the verdict in the U.S. District Court for the District of Maryland, said he faced years of racial harassment from the principal at Largo High School, who he said repeatedly told staffers and students that she planned to fire him.
“She called me ‘poor white trash’ and ‘white b****’,” Everhart said of the principal, Angelique Simpson-Marcus, who leads the 1,100-student school. “Her behavior was so outlandish.”
Thursday, August 7, 2014
Play by the rules
Education is historically considered to be the thing that levels the playing field, capable of lifting up the less advantaged and improving their chances for success.
"Play by the rules, work hard, apply yourself and do well in school, and that will open doors for you," is how Karl Alexander, a Johns Hopkins University sociologist, puts it.
But a study published in June suggests that the things that really make the difference — between prison and college, success and failure, sometimes even life and death — are money and family.
Alexander is one of the authors of "The Long Shadow," which explored this scenario: Take two kids of the same age who grew up in the same city — maybe even the same neighborhood. What factors will make the difference for each?
To find the answer, the Hopkins researchers undertook a massive study. They followed nearly 800 kids in Baltimore — from first grade until their late-20s.
They found that a child's fate is in many ways fixed at birth — determined by family strength and the parents' financial status.
The kids who got a better start — because their parents were married and working — ended up better off. Most of the poor kids from single-parent families stayed poor.
Just 33 children — out of nearly 800 — moved from the low-income to high-income bracket. And a similarly small number born into low-income families had college degrees by the time they turned 28.
We traveled to Baltimore to spend time with two of the people whom Alexander and the team tracked for nearly three decades. Here are their stories:
"Play by the rules, work hard, apply yourself and do well in school, and that will open doors for you," is how Karl Alexander, a Johns Hopkins University sociologist, puts it.
But a study published in June suggests that the things that really make the difference — between prison and college, success and failure, sometimes even life and death — are money and family.
Alexander is one of the authors of "The Long Shadow," which explored this scenario: Take two kids of the same age who grew up in the same city — maybe even the same neighborhood. What factors will make the difference for each?
To find the answer, the Hopkins researchers undertook a massive study. They followed nearly 800 kids in Baltimore — from first grade until their late-20s.
They found that a child's fate is in many ways fixed at birth — determined by family strength and the parents' financial status.
The kids who got a better start — because their parents were married and working — ended up better off. Most of the poor kids from single-parent families stayed poor.
Just 33 children — out of nearly 800 — moved from the low-income to high-income bracket. And a similarly small number born into low-income families had college degrees by the time they turned 28.
We traveled to Baltimore to spend time with two of the people whom Alexander and the team tracked for nearly three decades. Here are their stories:
Hawaii election in 2 days
Hawaii is two days away from its biggest Democratic primary election in a generation. It also happens to be bracing for a pair of hurricanes, the first of which is set to make landfall in a matter of hours.
The storms are 11th hour wild cards in what's been an historic primary season in the Aloha State. Competitive races for both the U.S. Senate and governor will determine the future of the Democratic Party in Hawaii, which has long been divided along generational, ethnic and political lines.
The storms are 11th hour wild cards in what's been an historic primary season in the Aloha State. Competitive races for both the U.S. Senate and governor will determine the future of the Democratic Party in Hawaii, which has long been divided along generational, ethnic and political lines.
Thursday election
The fate of several Tennessee incumbents hangs in the balance in Thursday’s Republican primary, but it may not be Sen. Lamar Alexander (R) who is sweating the most.
The veteran politician is expected to easily survive a Tea Party challenge from state Rep. Joe Carr (R), who never really caught on with the national conservative base. But two other House members may not be as lucky and could end up in the nail-biters of the night.
Embattled Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R-Tenn.) looked like a goner, under fire amid a past abortion scandal that only came to light two years ago. State Republicans would like to see state Sen. Jim Tracy oust the incumbent and rid them of an unnecessary headache, but in the final stretch the race has been closer in DesJarlais’s favor than many anticipated.
Two-term Rep. Chuck Fleischmann (R-Tenn.) faces a rematch with Weston Wamp, son of the district’s former congressman. The 27 year-old has actually been running to the incumbent’s left and making a plea for Democratic voters, an unusual move in a GOP primary.
Here’s your cheat sheet for what to watch when polls close across the Volunteer State at 7 p.m. ET.
The veteran politician is expected to easily survive a Tea Party challenge from state Rep. Joe Carr (R), who never really caught on with the national conservative base. But two other House members may not be as lucky and could end up in the nail-biters of the night.
Embattled Rep. Scott DesJarlais (R-Tenn.) looked like a goner, under fire amid a past abortion scandal that only came to light two years ago. State Republicans would like to see state Sen. Jim Tracy oust the incumbent and rid them of an unnecessary headache, but in the final stretch the race has been closer in DesJarlais’s favor than many anticipated.
Two-term Rep. Chuck Fleischmann (R-Tenn.) faces a rematch with Weston Wamp, son of the district’s former congressman. The 27 year-old has actually been running to the incumbent’s left and making a plea for Democratic voters, an unusual move in a GOP primary.
Here’s your cheat sheet for what to watch when polls close across the Volunteer State at 7 p.m. ET.
Wednesday, August 6, 2014
Nation high
D.C. residents will vote in November on whether to legalize marijuana use in the nation’s capital after elections officials voted Wednesday to place the question on the ballot.
The three-member D.C. Board of Elections voted unanimously Wednesday morning to approve the ballot initiative, certifying that activists gathered the tens of thousands of voter signatures necessary to qualify for the ballot.
Several of those activists attended Wednesday’s meeting and cheered the vote, which puts D.C. further down the path of joining Colorado and Washington as the only places in the nation where marijuana possession and cultivation is fully legal.
“In a democracy, the voice of the people should be heard,” said Malik Burnett, a doctor and leader of the D.C. Cannabis Coalition, an umbrella activist group that said it collected more than 57,000 signatures to qualify for the ballot.
Tamara Robinson, a board spokeswoman, said the petition, turned in July 17, had 27,688 valid signatures. To qualify for the November ballot, 22,600 signatures were required.
The three-member D.C. Board of Elections voted unanimously Wednesday morning to approve the ballot initiative, certifying that activists gathered the tens of thousands of voter signatures necessary to qualify for the ballot.
Several of those activists attended Wednesday’s meeting and cheered the vote, which puts D.C. further down the path of joining Colorado and Washington as the only places in the nation where marijuana possession and cultivation is fully legal.
“In a democracy, the voice of the people should be heard,” said Malik Burnett, a doctor and leader of the D.C. Cannabis Coalition, an umbrella activist group that said it collected more than 57,000 signatures to qualify for the ballot.
Tamara Robinson, a board spokeswoman, said the petition, turned in July 17, had 27,688 valid signatures. To qualify for the November ballot, 22,600 signatures were required.
Tuesday, August 5, 2014
War on whites
Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) on Tuesday defended his claim that Democrats are waging a “war on whites,” saying that people could “lawfully discriminate” against the group under current federal law.
“It is repugnant for Democrats time after time after time to resort to cries of racism to divide Americans and drive up voter turn out,” Brooks said in an interview with USA Today. “That is exactly what they are doing in order to drive up their vote and they are doing it when there is no racial discrimination involved.
“If you look at current federal law, there is only one skin color that you can lawfully discriminate against. That’s Caucasians — whites,” he added.
Brooks said he stands by his statement Monday in which he accused Democrats of launching a “war on whites.”
“I want Democrats held accountable ... if Americans want a political party that regularly stokes unfounded racial fears, well then vote Democrat,” he told USA Today.
In an interview Monday on conservative radio host Laura Ingraham’s show, Brooks said Democrats are using the current immigration debate to attack white constituents.
“This is a part of the war on whites that’s being launched by the Democratic Party. And the way in which they’re launching this war is by claiming that whites hate everybody else,” he said during the interview.
“It is repugnant for Democrats time after time after time to resort to cries of racism to divide Americans and drive up voter turn out,” Brooks said in an interview with USA Today. “That is exactly what they are doing in order to drive up their vote and they are doing it when there is no racial discrimination involved.
“If you look at current federal law, there is only one skin color that you can lawfully discriminate against. That’s Caucasians — whites,” he added.
Brooks said he stands by his statement Monday in which he accused Democrats of launching a “war on whites.”
“I want Democrats held accountable ... if Americans want a political party that regularly stokes unfounded racial fears, well then vote Democrat,” he told USA Today.
In an interview Monday on conservative radio host Laura Ingraham’s show, Brooks said Democrats are using the current immigration debate to attack white constituents.
“This is a part of the war on whites that’s being launched by the Democratic Party. And the way in which they’re launching this war is by claiming that whites hate everybody else,” he said during the interview.
Primary elections
After a brief lull, primary elections are kicking back into gear Tuesday in four states. It's the start of a busy stretch of important races between now and Labor Day.
Voters in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington head to the polls. There's a lot going on.
Below we break down the four most important things you should watch. As always, stay tuned for results this evening right here on Post Politics.
1. Will Sen. Pat Roberts get past his tea party challenger?
Roberts has made a couple of big mistakes, but he is favored to win. It all started with a February New York Times story revealing the senator pays rent to supporters to stay with them when he's in Kansas, instead of residing at his own house. The story fueled the kind of "he's lost touch with the state" criticism that dislodged Richard Lugar from the Senate in 2012. (Roberts owns a home suburban Washington.) Even worse, Roberts seemed oblivious to how bad it looked, jokingly telling the Times, "I have full access to the recliner." It didn't help when he remarked in July radio interview, "Every time I get an opponent — I mean, every time I get a chance, I’m home."
But here's the thing: Milton Wolf has not been able to capitalize. Wolf -- a second cousin of President Obama -- has his own problems. The doctor posted graphic X-ray images of gunshot victims on Facebook and made crude jokes about them. He has been outspent nearly 3 to 1. And while he's gotten some help from national tea party groups like the Senate Conservatives Fund, he is hardly the national tea party darling that Chris McDaniel was in Mississippi against Sen. Thad Cochran.
National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Jerry Moran (Kan.) didn't sound too worried about Roberts last week in a briefing with reporters. Polls have tightened a bit, but they still mostly show Roberts leading comfortably. This is one of the final chances for the tea party to knock off a sitting senator in a primary this year.
Voters in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington head to the polls. There's a lot going on.
Below we break down the four most important things you should watch. As always, stay tuned for results this evening right here on Post Politics.
1. Will Sen. Pat Roberts get past his tea party challenger?
Roberts has made a couple of big mistakes, but he is favored to win. It all started with a February New York Times story revealing the senator pays rent to supporters to stay with them when he's in Kansas, instead of residing at his own house. The story fueled the kind of "he's lost touch with the state" criticism that dislodged Richard Lugar from the Senate in 2012. (Roberts owns a home suburban Washington.) Even worse, Roberts seemed oblivious to how bad it looked, jokingly telling the Times, "I have full access to the recliner." It didn't help when he remarked in July radio interview, "Every time I get an opponent — I mean, every time I get a chance, I’m home."
But here's the thing: Milton Wolf has not been able to capitalize. Wolf -- a second cousin of President Obama -- has his own problems. The doctor posted graphic X-ray images of gunshot victims on Facebook and made crude jokes about them. He has been outspent nearly 3 to 1. And while he's gotten some help from national tea party groups like the Senate Conservatives Fund, he is hardly the national tea party darling that Chris McDaniel was in Mississippi against Sen. Thad Cochran.
National Republican Senatorial Committee Chairman Jerry Moran (Kan.) didn't sound too worried about Roberts last week in a briefing with reporters. Polls have tightened a bit, but they still mostly show Roberts leading comfortably. This is one of the final chances for the tea party to knock off a sitting senator in a primary this year.
Congress all time low
The number of Americans who approve of their own representative in Congress has reached an all-time low, according to a poll released Tuesday.
In a Washington Post-ABC News poll, 51 percent of Americans said that they disapprove of the way their member of Congress is "handling his or her job." Forty-one percent approve of how their member handles his or her work, the lowest approval rating that The Washington Post and ABC News has found. This is the first time in 25 years that the number of Americans who disapprove of their own Congress member has risen over 50 percent, according to the Post.
Still, Democrats are seeing more favorable ratings than Republicans. Of those polled, 49 percent said that they have a "favorable impression of the Democratic Party," while only 35 percent answered the same for the GOP.
These results come on the same day that voters in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington will be casting their ballots for midterm election primaries. On June 15, a Gallup poll found that only 15 percent of Americans approve of the way Congress is handling its job, with a plurality answering that the solution for fixing the legislative branch would be to clear house.
This poll was conducted July 30-Aug. 3 among 1,029 people and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
In a Washington Post-ABC News poll, 51 percent of Americans said that they disapprove of the way their member of Congress is "handling his or her job." Forty-one percent approve of how their member handles his or her work, the lowest approval rating that The Washington Post and ABC News has found. This is the first time in 25 years that the number of Americans who disapprove of their own Congress member has risen over 50 percent, according to the Post.
Still, Democrats are seeing more favorable ratings than Republicans. Of those polled, 49 percent said that they have a "favorable impression of the Democratic Party," while only 35 percent answered the same for the GOP.
These results come on the same day that voters in Kansas, Michigan, Missouri and Washington will be casting their ballots for midterm election primaries. On June 15, a Gallup poll found that only 15 percent of Americans approve of the way Congress is handling its job, with a plurality answering that the solution for fixing the legislative branch would be to clear house.
This poll was conducted July 30-Aug. 3 among 1,029 people and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.
Monday, August 4, 2014
Move on!
Mississippi state Sen. Chris McDaniel (R) demanded that the state Republican Party overturn Sen. Thad Cochran's June primary victory and declare him the winner in a Monday press conference.
"They asked us to put up or shut up. Here we are. Here we are with the evidence," McDaniel declared before yielding the podium to his lawyer, who said that the state party should overturn the election's results because of allegations of crossover voting from Democrats, many of them African-American. Cochran won the June 24 runoff election by 7,667 votes.
"We anticipate that after they review the challenge that they'll see that Chris McDaniel clearly won the Republican vote in the runoff," said McDaniel attorney Mitch Tyner. "Chris McDaniel clearly won the runoff by 25,000 votes. ... We're not asking for a new election. We're simply asking that the Republican Party actually recognize the person who won the runoff election."
Tyner brandished a binder which he claimed outlined all the voters the McDaniel campaign says did or may have broken the law by voting in the GOP primary runoff after earlier voting in the Democratic primary, arguing there were more than 15,000 votes that should be thrown out.
While McDaniel's lawyer demanded a public hearing from the state Republican Executive Committee next Tuesday, he did not walk through what the actual violations were.
McDaniel also took a shot at Cochran's campaign, accusing them of race-baiting in the primary. Cochran's allies made explicit appeals to black Democrats to have them cross over in the primary.
"There is no place in the Republican Party for those that would race-bait," he said.
A number of Republicans have accused McDaniel of race-baiting as well following his targeting of black crossover votes. McDaniel has been refusing for weeks to concede the race.
"They asked us to put up or shut up. Here we are. Here we are with the evidence," McDaniel declared before yielding the podium to his lawyer, who said that the state party should overturn the election's results because of allegations of crossover voting from Democrats, many of them African-American. Cochran won the June 24 runoff election by 7,667 votes.
"We anticipate that after they review the challenge that they'll see that Chris McDaniel clearly won the Republican vote in the runoff," said McDaniel attorney Mitch Tyner. "Chris McDaniel clearly won the runoff by 25,000 votes. ... We're not asking for a new election. We're simply asking that the Republican Party actually recognize the person who won the runoff election."
Tyner brandished a binder which he claimed outlined all the voters the McDaniel campaign says did or may have broken the law by voting in the GOP primary runoff after earlier voting in the Democratic primary, arguing there were more than 15,000 votes that should be thrown out.
While McDaniel's lawyer demanded a public hearing from the state Republican Executive Committee next Tuesday, he did not walk through what the actual violations were.
McDaniel also took a shot at Cochran's campaign, accusing them of race-baiting in the primary. Cochran's allies made explicit appeals to black Democrats to have them cross over in the primary.
"There is no place in the Republican Party for those that would race-bait," he said.
A number of Republicans have accused McDaniel of race-baiting as well following his targeting of black crossover votes. McDaniel has been refusing for weeks to concede the race.
GOP
Ron Fournier spoke an objective truth yesterday on Fox News Sunday. “The fastest growing bloc in this country thinks the Republican Party hates them,” the National Journal writer said to Michael Needham, chief executive of Heritage Action for America. “This party, your party, cannot be the party of the future beyond November, if you’re seen as the party of white people.” Fournier didn’t break any new ground with that statement. The ballyhooed and then ignored GOP autopsy said pretty much the same thing. If the Republican Party doesn’t broaden its reach to people of color, Hispanics in particular, it is doomed as a national party.
But Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) begged to differ. When he was asked by Laura Ingraham today to react to Fournier’s remark, he threw down the gauntlet.
Brooks: This is a part of the war on whites that’s being launched by the Democratic Party. And the way in which they’re launching this war is by claiming that whites hate everybody else. It’s a part of the strategy that Barack Obama implemented in 2008, continued in 2012, where he divides us all on race, on sex, greed, envy, class warfare, all those kinds of things. Well that’s not true. Okay?
You know you’ve vaulted over a line when even a firebrand conservative talker like Ingraham feels compelled to call you out. Good for her for doing so, even though I disagree with her blanket race-card accusation. Anyway, Brooks’s sense of being aggrieved, this surreal notion that whites are under siege by everyone else, is worthy of a thousand side-eyes. Jonathan Chait at New York magazine puts Brooks’s affront to history in its proper perspective today.
White racial victimization is a concept as old as racism itself. White reactionaries in the 19th century imagined that abolishing slavery would turn white people themselves into slaves, and the concept of white subjugation was transferred into such things as black suffrage, civil rights, and so on. The war on whites has raged continuously in the right-wing mind for more than two centuries.
“You can’t call someone ugly and expect them to go to the prom with you,” former House majority leader Dick Armey told the drafters of the GOP autopsy. “We’ve chased the Hispanic voter out of his natural home.” And Brooks is an example of why they won’t be coming back anytime soon.
But Rep. Mo Brooks (R-Ala.) begged to differ. When he was asked by Laura Ingraham today to react to Fournier’s remark, he threw down the gauntlet.
Brooks: This is a part of the war on whites that’s being launched by the Democratic Party. And the way in which they’re launching this war is by claiming that whites hate everybody else. It’s a part of the strategy that Barack Obama implemented in 2008, continued in 2012, where he divides us all on race, on sex, greed, envy, class warfare, all those kinds of things. Well that’s not true. Okay?
You know you’ve vaulted over a line when even a firebrand conservative talker like Ingraham feels compelled to call you out. Good for her for doing so, even though I disagree with her blanket race-card accusation. Anyway, Brooks’s sense of being aggrieved, this surreal notion that whites are under siege by everyone else, is worthy of a thousand side-eyes. Jonathan Chait at New York magazine puts Brooks’s affront to history in its proper perspective today.
White racial victimization is a concept as old as racism itself. White reactionaries in the 19th century imagined that abolishing slavery would turn white people themselves into slaves, and the concept of white subjugation was transferred into such things as black suffrage, civil rights, and so on. The war on whites has raged continuously in the right-wing mind for more than two centuries.
“You can’t call someone ugly and expect them to go to the prom with you,” former House majority leader Dick Armey told the drafters of the GOP autopsy. “We’ve chased the Hispanic voter out of his natural home.” And Brooks is an example of why they won’t be coming back anytime soon.
Election Aug 5 2014
WILL YOU VOTE FOR THE LYNDHURST INCOME TAX INCREASE?:
According to a a poll of more than 1,800 adults in the city of 14,000 — 54 percent will.
More than a quarter said they were undecided and 18 percent disapproved when Shelvie Polls asked residents earlier this month. If voters pass the 0.5-percent increase on August 5, the income tax rate would increase to 2 percent.
According to a a poll of more than 1,800 adults in the city of 14,000 — 54 percent will.
More than a quarter said they were undecided and 18 percent disapproved when Shelvie Polls asked residents earlier this month. If voters pass the 0.5-percent increase on August 5, the income tax rate would increase to 2 percent.
Saturday, August 2, 2014
Friday, August 1, 2014
Poll standards
The leading organization representing the nation's pollsters criticized CBS News and the New York Times on Friday for releasing results of a nationwide poll the survey-researchers organization said was conducted using an unproven methodology.
Last Sunday, the two news organizations unveiled their "Battleground Tracker," an online survey updated each month. The poll -- conducted by Internet pollster YouGov -- interviewed more than 100,000 people nationwide, the news organizations said, allowing them to project results for each Senate race in the country.
The results were featured on CBS's "Face the Nation," and the New York Times "Upshot" data-driven vertical published multiple entries about the survey. The first edition of the "Battleground Tracker" showed Republicans leading in 51 Senate races, which prompted The Upshot to project that Republicans had a 60 percent chance of winning control of the Senate.
The American Association for Public Opinion Research's statement on Friday criticized CBS and the Times for using a survey method that has "little grounding in theory" and for a lack of transparency.
"[M]any of the details required to honestly assess the methodology remain undisclosed," according to the AAPOR statement, issued under the organization's letterhead and signed by president Michael Link. "This may be an isolated incident with the Times / CBS News providing more information on this effort in the coming weeks. If not, it is a disappointing precedent being set by two of our leading media institutions."
CBS News elections director Anthony Salvanto disputed that charge, saying in a statement that CBS disclosed the methodology for the study "in great detail."
"Battleground Tracker is a pioneering project that delivers a comprehensive look at the electorate for viewers and readers in a manner that has never been seen in midterms before," said Salvanto. "As always, the methodology is available in great detail along with our findings at cbsnews.com. The Battleground Tracker model represents another example of the rich history of industry-wide innovations from CBS News."
The two news organizations issued a joint statement defending the survey.
"The New York Times and CBS News are proud to continue our long history of presenting new and methodologically rigorous analyses to our readers and viewers," the statement says. "Our findings and methods for the new Battleground Tracker were laid out in great detail for all to see, and the underlying methodology is already well-known to, and widely used in, the survey research and scholarly communities. Moreover, both The New York Times and CBS News have successfully used online panel data in past projects. We remain committed to, and on the forefront of, the highest standards of transparency and data collection[.] Battleground Tracker provides yet another example of both."
AAPOR also hit the Times individually for abandoning their standards to report results of the YouGov study. In the past, Times reporters were prohibited by an internal policy from reporting results of polls conducted among web respondents who were not randomly selected to participate in the survey.
An update to the Times' polling standards on Monday said: "The world of polling is currently in the midst of significant change, and The Times has begun a process to review its polling standards. While the process is ongoing, the paper will be making individual decisions about which polls meet Times standards and specifically how they should be used. As technology changes, we expect there will be multiple methods for capturing public opinion; we also fully expect that there will continue to be a proliferation of polls that do not meet our standards."
But to Link, the AAPOR president, that sounded like a complete evisceration of the Times' standards.
"This means no standards are currently in place," Link wrote. "It is unclear why the decision was made to pull the existing standards before the new ones are developed, vetted and published. Yes, all responsible institutions need to review their standards periodically, making appropriate changes as technologies and methodologies change. However, standards need to be in place at all times precisely to avoid the 'we know it when we see it (or worse yet, 'prefer it')' approach, which often gives expediency and flash far greater weight than confidence and veracity."
New York Times Upshot editor David Leonhardt did not respond to an email seeking comment. Earlier this week, he addressed similar criticisms of the YouGov methodology in an email conversation with POLITICO -- citing YouGov's similar project in 2012 with CBS News, a project with which the Times wasn't involved but studied closely.
"We remain skeptical about many online polls, but YouGov is clearing a high bar in terms of transparency. That's crucial for survey work, especially a newer form," he said.
(POLITICO commissions online polling using probability-based sampling, not the opt-in panels that YouGov used for this study.)
Last Sunday, the two news organizations unveiled their "Battleground Tracker," an online survey updated each month. The poll -- conducted by Internet pollster YouGov -- interviewed more than 100,000 people nationwide, the news organizations said, allowing them to project results for each Senate race in the country.
The results were featured on CBS's "Face the Nation," and the New York Times "Upshot" data-driven vertical published multiple entries about the survey. The first edition of the "Battleground Tracker" showed Republicans leading in 51 Senate races, which prompted The Upshot to project that Republicans had a 60 percent chance of winning control of the Senate.
The American Association for Public Opinion Research's statement on Friday criticized CBS and the Times for using a survey method that has "little grounding in theory" and for a lack of transparency.
"[M]any of the details required to honestly assess the methodology remain undisclosed," according to the AAPOR statement, issued under the organization's letterhead and signed by president Michael Link. "This may be an isolated incident with the Times / CBS News providing more information on this effort in the coming weeks. If not, it is a disappointing precedent being set by two of our leading media institutions."
CBS News elections director Anthony Salvanto disputed that charge, saying in a statement that CBS disclosed the methodology for the study "in great detail."
"Battleground Tracker is a pioneering project that delivers a comprehensive look at the electorate for viewers and readers in a manner that has never been seen in midterms before," said Salvanto. "As always, the methodology is available in great detail along with our findings at cbsnews.com. The Battleground Tracker model represents another example of the rich history of industry-wide innovations from CBS News."
The two news organizations issued a joint statement defending the survey.
"The New York Times and CBS News are proud to continue our long history of presenting new and methodologically rigorous analyses to our readers and viewers," the statement says. "Our findings and methods for the new Battleground Tracker were laid out in great detail for all to see, and the underlying methodology is already well-known to, and widely used in, the survey research and scholarly communities. Moreover, both The New York Times and CBS News have successfully used online panel data in past projects. We remain committed to, and on the forefront of, the highest standards of transparency and data collection[.] Battleground Tracker provides yet another example of both."
AAPOR also hit the Times individually for abandoning their standards to report results of the YouGov study. In the past, Times reporters were prohibited by an internal policy from reporting results of polls conducted among web respondents who were not randomly selected to participate in the survey.
An update to the Times' polling standards on Monday said: "The world of polling is currently in the midst of significant change, and The Times has begun a process to review its polling standards. While the process is ongoing, the paper will be making individual decisions about which polls meet Times standards and specifically how they should be used. As technology changes, we expect there will be multiple methods for capturing public opinion; we also fully expect that there will continue to be a proliferation of polls that do not meet our standards."
But to Link, the AAPOR president, that sounded like a complete evisceration of the Times' standards.
"This means no standards are currently in place," Link wrote. "It is unclear why the decision was made to pull the existing standards before the new ones are developed, vetted and published. Yes, all responsible institutions need to review their standards periodically, making appropriate changes as technologies and methodologies change. However, standards need to be in place at all times precisely to avoid the 'we know it when we see it (or worse yet, 'prefer it')' approach, which often gives expediency and flash far greater weight than confidence and veracity."
New York Times Upshot editor David Leonhardt did not respond to an email seeking comment. Earlier this week, he addressed similar criticisms of the YouGov methodology in an email conversation with POLITICO -- citing YouGov's similar project in 2012 with CBS News, a project with which the Times wasn't involved but studied closely.
"We remain skeptical about many online polls, but YouGov is clearing a high bar in terms of transparency. That's crucial for survey work, especially a newer form," he said.
(POLITICO commissions online polling using probability-based sampling, not the opt-in panels that YouGov used for this study.)
I quit !
In a surprised move, Rep. Eric Cantor says he will resign from Congress on August 18 and has requested a special election to replace him, according to a report late Thursday.
The Virginia Republican told the Richmond Times-Dispatch that he has called on Gov. Terry McAuliffe to set up a special election for his 7th congressional district seat so that his replacement can begin immediately after the election and not when the 114th Congress starts in January.
Cantor previously said he would serve his full term.
"I want to make sure that the constituents in the 7th District will have a voice in what will be a very consequential lame-duck session," Cantor told the Times-Dispatch. "That way he will also have seniority, and that will help the interests of my constituents [because] he can be there in that consequential lame-duck session," he added.
Cantor lost his seat in a shocking primary upset to political novice Dave Brat.
In his last speech as majority leader on Thursday, he called serving in Congress "the privilege of a lifetime."
The congressman also told the Virginia paper that he hopes the Republican Brat will defeat Democrat Jack Trammell in the upcoming election. He also said he regretted that Congress moves slowly. "I wish that Washington would act quicker," he said.
The Virginia Republican told the Richmond Times-Dispatch that he has called on Gov. Terry McAuliffe to set up a special election for his 7th congressional district seat so that his replacement can begin immediately after the election and not when the 114th Congress starts in January.
Cantor previously said he would serve his full term.
"I want to make sure that the constituents in the 7th District will have a voice in what will be a very consequential lame-duck session," Cantor told the Times-Dispatch. "That way he will also have seniority, and that will help the interests of my constituents [because] he can be there in that consequential lame-duck session," he added.
Cantor lost his seat in a shocking primary upset to political novice Dave Brat.
In his last speech as majority leader on Thursday, he called serving in Congress "the privilege of a lifetime."
The congressman also told the Virginia paper that he hopes the Republican Brat will defeat Democrat Jack Trammell in the upcoming election. He also said he regretted that Congress moves slowly. "I wish that Washington would act quicker," he said.
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